The cost of failure
by Hal A. Skopicki, MD
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| Hal A. Skopicki, MD, PhD, is assistant professor of medicine, and director, Heart Failure and Cardiomyopathy Program, Stony Brook University Health Sciences Center, Stony Brook, New York. |
When considering the article by Goldberg and colleagues, it seems reasonable to request a change in the title to "Survival after the diagnosis of heart failure." Such a change would emphasize that heart failure is a chronic disease that must be vigilantly managed by both patient and physician to limit the extensive morbidity and mortality of the seemingly compensated individual.
Title aside, the article makes clear the challenging fight for survival faced by heart failure patients once hospitalized with an acute decompensation.1 Even after removing the presumably more critically ill 4% that succumbs to in-hospital death, survival after a hospital admission for heart failure is a dismal 63% at 1 year and 21% at 5 years. This bleak prognosis vies with the most malignant forms of cancer (Table). 2
Although not earth-shattering to the grizzled heart failure specialist, these mortality statistics may be striking to other physicians in the wake of nearly 3 decades of cardiologists trumpeting the dramatic advancements in both the diagnosis and treatment of heart failure patients (Figures 1 and 2). So where are the advantages we have painstakingly achieved? What happened to the mortality reductions of 16% with the use of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors,3 35% reduction with ß blockers,4 30% reduction with aldosterone antagonists,5 36% reduction with biventricular pacemakers,6 and 23% reduction with implantable cardiac defibrillators?7
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| Table. Comparison of 1- and 5-year survival after hospitalization for heart failure. |
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| Figure 1 (A). Cumulative mortality rates for subjects enrolled in chronic heart failure studies. (B) Percentages of study patients in each heart failure classification. NYHA indicates New York Heart Association functional class. View larger sized image. |
Perhaps circumstances preceding hospitalizations can offer clues. The Acute Decompensated Heart Failure National Registry (ADHERE) has quite disturbingly shown that many heart failure patients fail to receive optimal medications prior to their decompensation and hospitalization. More than 40% are not receiving ACE inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers, and more than 30% are not receiving ß blockers.8 In addition, multiple avenues exist for medication failure, even if prescribed: noncompliance, the lack of effective long-term outpatient monitoring, and the readiness with which heart failure patients are dismissed as intolerant of potentially life-saving therapies. Moreover, there exists little economic incentive for physicians to rigorously monitor their heart failure patients for the early stages of decompensation, hyperkalemia, and renal failure.
What about the long-term mortality ramifications of actions taken during the acute hospitalization?Although more than 90% of heart failure patients are hospitalized with volume overload, less than 50% lose more than 5 pounds during the acute hospitalization.8 This may reflect the difficulty in clinically assessing persistent volume overload9 or the fear of inducing renal dysfunction in a patient population where renal function predicts not only in-hospital but also long-term mortality.10-14 It is therefore surprising that no technologically pragmatic application exists to guide the aggressiveness of diuresis or to gauge when euvolemia has been established.
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| Figure 2. Cumulative mortality rates for subjects enrolled in acute or severe decompensation heart failure studies. NYHA indicates New York Heart Association functional class.View larger sized image. |
It is also sobering to know that,despite a plethora of studies guiding our outpatient treatment, currently no category IA evidence (evidence obtained from systematic review of meta-analysis of randomized, controlled trials) exists to guide the therapy of acutely decompensated heart failure patients. There are no prospective,double-blind, placebo-controlled studies that have shown the benefit of any medication used in the treatment of acutely decompensated heart failure patients to improve 1-, 3-, or 5-year mortality.15-17 The lack of answers to fundamental questions, including the initial dose and type of diuretics, the optimal method of volume removal, and the role of vasodilators or inotropes, undermines our ability to institute effective therapy. The complexity of trying to solve acute hemodynamic and volume issues while also paying attention to the long-term effects of the acute neurohumoral activation18 is daunting and may be responsible for the lack of mortality benefits with newer diuretics, despite their enhanced early diuresis.19
An additional variable is the hospital presentation of the heart failure patient. Although heart failure maybe the primary cause of the hospitalization,it may also appear as acomorbid diagnosis associated withdisease states that may be relativelymore or less lethal. Cancer, gastrointestinaldisease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and sepsis are common cotravelers. In addition, heart failure decompensation in the setting of ischemia, atrial fibrillation,renal dysfunction, and shock result ina call for differential therapies.
The high mortality rates after a hospitalization associated with heart failure require that all aspects of the heart failure admission—from presentation,to medical optimization,discharge, and follow-up—undergo prospective evaluation to better understand the factors that contribute to the significant mortality associated with progressive pump failure and sudden death.
References
- Goldberg RJ, Ciampa J, Lessard D, et al. Long-term survival after heart failure: a contemporary population-based perspective. Arch Intern Med. 2007;167(5):490-496.
- National Cancer Institute. Cancer Mortality Maps & Graphs. Available at: www3.cancer.gov/atlasplus/charts.html. Accessed July 14, 2007.
- Effect of enalapril on survival in patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fractions and congestive heart failure. The SOLVD Investigators. N Engl J Med. 1991; 325(5):293-301.
- Packer M, Fowler MB, Roecker EB, et al for the Carvedilol Prospective Randomized Cumulative Survival (COPERNICUS) Study Group. Effect of carvedilol on the morbidity of patients with severe chronic heart failure: results of the carvedilol prospective randomized cumulative survival (COPERNICUS) study. Circulation. 2002;106(17):2194-2199.
- Pitt B, Zannad F, Remme WJ, et al. The effect of spironolactone on morbidity and mortality in patients with severe heart failure. Randomized Aldactone Evaluation Study Investigators. N Engl J Med. 1999; 341(10):709-717.
- Celand JG, Daubert JC, Erdmann E, et al for the Cardiac Resynchronization-Heart Failure (CARE-HF) Study Investigators. The effect of cardiac resynchronization on morbidity and mortality in heart failure. N Engl J Med. 2005;352(15):1539-1549.
- Bardy GH, Lee KL, Mark DB, et al for the Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial (SCD-HeFT) Investigators. Amiodarone or an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator for congestive heart failure. N Engl J Med. 2005;352(3):225-237.
- ADHERE. Insights from the ADHERE Registry Report 3.31.2006. Available at: www.adhereregistry.com. Accessed April 1, 2007.
- Androne AS, Hryniewicz K, Hudaihed A, et al. Relation of unrecognized hypervolemia in chronic heart failure to clinical status, hemodynamics, and patient outcomes. Am J Cardiol. 2004;93(10):1254-1259.
- Yancy CW, Lopatin M, Stevenson LW, et al for the ADHERE Scientific Advisory Committee and Investigators. Clinical presentation, management, and in-hospital
outcomes of patients admitted with acute decompensated heart failure with preserved systolic function: a report from the Acute Decompensated Heart Failure
National Registry (ADHERE) database. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2006;47(1):76-84.
- Krumholz HM, Chen YT, Vaccarino V, et al. Correlates and impact on outcomes of worsening renal function in patients >65 years of age with heart failure. Am J Cardiol. 2000;85(9):1110-1113.
- Butler J, Forman DE, Abraham WT, et al. Relationship between heart failure treatment and development of worsening renal function among hospitalized patients. Am Heart J. 2004;147(2):331-338.
- Smith GL, Vaccarino V, Kosiborod M, et al. Worsening renal function: what is a clinically meaningful change in creatinine during hospitalization with heart failure? J Card Fail. 2003;9(1):13-25.
- Gottlieb SS, Abraham W, Butler J, et al. The prognostic importance of different definitions of worsening renal function in congestive heart failure. J Card Fail. 2002; 8(3):136-141.
- Cuffe MS, Califf RM, Adams KF Jr, et al for the Outcomes of a Prospective Trial of Intravenous Milrinone for Exacerbations of Chronic Heart Failure (OPTIME-CHF)
Investigators. Short-term intravenous milrinone for acute exacerbation of chronic heart failure: a randomized controlled trial. JAMA. 2002;287(12):1541-1547.
- Publication Committee for the VMAC Investigators (Vasodilatation in the Management of Acute CHF). Intravenous nesiritide vs nitroglycerin for treatment of
decompensated congestive heart failure: a randomized controlled trial. JAMA. 2002; 287(12):1531-1540.
- Konstam MA, Gheorghiade M, Burnett JC Jr, et al for the Efficacy of Vasopressin Antagonism in Heart Failure Outcome Study With Tolvaptan (EVEREST) Investigators. Effects of oral tolvaptan in patients hospitalized for worsening heart failure: the EVEREST Outcome Trial. JAMA. 2007;297(12):
1319-1331.
- Bayliss J, Norell M, Canepa-Anson R, et al. Untreated heart failure: clinical and neuroendocrine effects of introducing diuretics. Br Heart J. 1987;57(1):17-22.
- Gheorghiade M, Konstam MA, Burnett JC Jr, et al for the Efficacy of Vasopressin Antagonism in Heart Failure Outcome Study With Tolvaptan (EVEREST) Investigators. Short-term clinical effects of tolvaptan, an oral vasopressin antagonist, in patients hospitalized for heart failure: the EVEREST Clinical Status Trials. JAMA. 2007;297(12):1332-1343.
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